Politics and economics

"Saudi-Pakistani Defense Agreement 2025: A Strategic Alliance That Shifts the Balance of Power in the Middle East"

Details of the 2025 Joint Defense Agreement between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan and its Regional Impact :

On September 17, 2025, Saudi Arabia and Pakistan signed what is known as the Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement. [1] Under this agreement, any attack on one of the two countries is considered an attack on the other. The agreement represents a significant shift in the security alliance map in the region and carries multiple implications at the diplomatic, military, and political levels. In this article, we will review the structure of the agreement, its reasons, its impact, reactions, challenges, and what it could mean for the future.

What exactly is the agreement ?

  • Official name: Strategic Mutual Defense Agreement between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan.
  • Text of the agreement: 'Any aggression against one of the two countries is considered aggression against both.'
  • The agreement was signed in Riyadh under the leadership of the Saudi Crown Prince, Mohammed bin Salman, and the Prime Minister of Pakistan, Shehbaz Sharif.
  • Stated goal: to strengthen defense cooperation, deter any aggression, and coordinate security between the two parties.

Why this deal now?

  • Escalation of Regional Difficulties: Following Israel's recent attacks on Doha and other tensions in the Gulf region.
  • Saudi Arabia is looking for alternative or supportive security alliances following its feeling that lasting stability cannot be guaranteed through its traditional partners. 
  • Pakistan possesses significant military capabilities, including a nuclear program, and having this agreement gives Saudi Arabia a sense of deterrence.

Potential impacts of the agreement:

  • Shared Security and Stronger Deterrence :
    The agreement represented a step toward enhancing deterrence against military or security threats, especially in the context of regional tensions.
  • Pakistan's Emergence as a Regional Security Player:
    Through this agreement, Pakistan increases its influence and impact in the Gulf and the Arab region as a whole, granting it a stronger position in future alliances.
  • Reshaping Balances and Alliances:
    Neighboring or interested countries (such as India, Iran, Israel) will monitor the agreement, as they may notice a change in security dynamics.
  • Saudi Arabia's Political Security:
    This agreement reduces Saudi Arabia's complete reliance on external security guarantees and strengthens its own defense framework.

Reactions and concerns :

  • India expressed concern that the agreement could affect its security, and expected Saudi Arabia to consider 'mutual sensitivities'.
  • Pakistan confirmed that the agreement is defensive and not directed against any particular country.
  • Observers say that part of the agreement contains informal references to the Pakistani 'nuclear umbrella,' which could provoke significant controversy if implemented in practice.

Challenges that the agreement may face:

  • Operational details: How will the military cooperation be? What measures are taken in the event of aggression? These questions remain open for now.
  • Reliability and political support within other countries: Many countries will monitor whether the agreement changes the balance of power.
  • The impact on Saudi relations with countries like India or the United States, although Saudi Arabia affirms that it seeks balance in its relations.

What could the future mean ?

  • A report by 'The National' indicates that the agreement with Pakistan is a potential concern for Tehran, especially since the agreement could extend to what is known as the 'Pakistani nuclear shadow,' which could include Saudi Arabia in the event of an attack. [2]
  • The agreement may encourage other Arab countries to join the joint defense alliance.
  • The possibility of developing joint military capabilities, joint exercises, intelligence information exchange, and possibly establishing joint defense systems or specialized defense industries.
  • The agreement could be used as a diplomatic tool to send a strong message to regional powers such as Israel or Iran, indicating that Saudi Arabia does not act independently of its defensive capabilities and supporters.

    Iran's position:
  • After signing the agreement, Iranian Foreign Minister (Abbas Araghchi) spoke by phone with his Saudi counterpart Faisal bin Farhan. The conversation included an exchange of views on bilateral relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia, as well as the Saudi-Pakistani defense agreement.
  • A report from 'The National' indicates that the agreement with Pakistan is a potential concern for Tehran, especially since the agreement could extend to what is known as the 'Pakistani nuclear shadow,' which could involve Saudi Arabia in the event of an attack.
  • Since Iran is a neighbor of Saudi Arabia and has security and strategic interests in the region, expanding defense alliances like this with a nuclear-armed country such as Pakistan raises questions in Iran about the military balance, especially amid the current tensions between Iran-backed groups and the Gulf states.

    US position:
  • So far, there does not appear to be any clear official statement from the U.S. government expressing full acceptance or outright rejection of this agreement. Sources indicate that Washington is monitoring the developments cautiously.
  • Some analysts believe that the timing of the agreement and its potential nuclear implications represent an implicit message to the United States, especially in the context of Saudi Arabia's waning confidence in certain Western security guarantees. 

References :


  • Anadolu Ajansı
    : www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/saudi-arabia-pakistan-sign-strategic-mutual-defense-pact/3691102?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  • Wikipedia: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strategic_Mutual_Defense_Agreement?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  • Arab News: www.arabnews.com/node/2615947/pakistan?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  • Al Jazeera: www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/9/17/saudi-arabia-signs-mutual-defence-pact-with-nuclear-armed-pakistan?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  • Al Jazeera: www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2025/9/18/watershed-how-saudi-pakistan-defence-pact-reshapes-regions-geopolitics?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  • Dawn: www.dawn.com/news/1942902/here-is-what-analysts-have-to-say-about-the-pak-saudi-defence-agreement?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  • Outlook India: www.outlookindia.com/national/india-urges-saudi-arabia-to-respect-sensitivities-after-riyadh-pakistan-defense-pact?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  • AP News: apnews.com/article/e66e0ded8045812c8aea39e21d764836?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  • PressTV: www.presstv.co.uk/Detail/2025/09/18/755280/Iran-Araghchi-Saudi-Arabia-Faisal-bin-Farhan-Pakistan-defense-pact-Mohammed-bin-Salman-Shahbaz-Sharif-?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  • The National: www.thenationalnews.com/news/gulf/2025/09/19/saudi-arabia-pakistan-defence-pact-analysis/?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  • Military.com: www.military.com/daily-news/2025/09/18/saudi-arabia-signs-mutual-defense-pact-nuclear-armed-pakistan-after-israels-attack-qatar.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com
  • South China Morning Post: www.scmp.com/news/world/middle-east/article/3325923/saudi-arabia-and-pakistan-sign-defence-pact-amid-growing-wariness-over-us?module=latest&pgtype=homepage&utm_source=chatgpt.com

Conclusion

The Saudi-Pakistani defense agreement represents a turning point in regional security policy for 2025. It is not merely a political statement, but a shift in the way countries think about who protects whom and when. The emphasis that any aggression against one is aggression against the other represents a new deterrent force, but the practical implementation and technical details will determine its real impact.

This agreement could mark the beginning of a new phase in Middle Eastern alliances. Watching the development of upcoming events plays a key role in understanding whether this alliance will withstand challenges or remain a media slogan with temporary allure.

From Mudawanati to His Royal Highness Prince Mohammed bin Salman:

“To the Visionary Leader, the Inspiring of Youth, and the Architect of the Kingdom’s Renaissance…
We say to you from the heart: May God strengthen you, grant you success, and make all your steps blessed in the path of elevating your nation and serving your people.
We see you building a future worthy of the Kingdom and its stature, and we stand behind you with all pride and gratitude.
May you remain a pride for Saudi Arabia and a banner of determination and ambition.”

Related Articles

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are indicated with *

زر الذهاب إلى الأعلى